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Founders ยท Decision Journal

Record a decision and your predicted outcome.

Who this is for

Decision-makers who want to calibrate their judgment by recording predictions and later checking them against reality.

The moment this saves you

I make decisions, they work out or they don't, and I never learn anything because I only judge them by the outcome, not by whether my reasoning at the time was actually sound.

See it work

Messy spoken thought in. A clean, structured artifact out.

What you said

Decision journal entry. I'm deciding to pause our paid ads entirely for the next quarter and put everything into content and SEO instead. My reasoning is the paid channel ROI has been declining and content compounds, but it's slow. What I predict, I think organic traffic will be flat for two months then start climbing, and I expect overall leads to dip maybe 20% in the short term before recovering. My confidence is about 60%, this is a real bet. The thing I'm most unsure about is whether we have the patience to stick with it when leads dip. I'll review this in three months against what actually happened.

decision-journal.md

Decision journal, June 5, 2026

  • Decision: Pause all paid ads next quarter, shift everything to content and SEO
  • Reasoning: Declining paid ROI; content compounds (but slowly)
  • Prediction: Organic flat ~2 months then climbs; overall leads dip ~20% short-term before recovering
  • Confidence: ~60% (a real bet)
  • Biggest uncertainty: Whether we'll have the patience to hold when leads dip
  • Review date: In 3 months, compare to what actually happened

The workflow

1

Record a voice note

Hit the hotkey and talk, no formatting, no typing.

2

Tag it with this context

Contextli shapes your words into the structured output above.

3

Find it later

Everything's searchable and organised by context.

4

Pull it into Claude or ChatGPT

Bring your contexts straight into your AI tools with the Contextli MCP.

Your raw recording and transcription stay on your device, so you can always go back to the original.

The prompt behind this context

system prompt

I'm going to record a decision and predict its outcome. Turn it into a dated decision-journal entry: a bold "Decision journal, [today's date]" heading, then labeled lines: Decision (what I'm doing), Reasoning (why), Prediction (what I expect to happen, with specifics and any numbers), Confidence (a percentage if I give one), Biggest uncertainty (what I'm least sure about), and Review date (when to check). Keep my predictions and numbers exact, this is for later calibration. Don't invent predictions or confidence I didn't state. Output only the entry.

Make it your own. This is a starting point. Once it's in Contextli, tweak the instructions so the output comes out exactly how you like it.

Use this context

One tap adds it to your clipboard. Open Contextli and paste to add it.

Next, open Contextli, Contexts, Import, paste.

Make it your own. This is a starting point. Once it's in Contextli, tweak the instructions so the output comes out exactly how you like it.

Your raw recording and transcription stay on your device, so you can always go back to the original.

Related contexts

Browse more

Decision Journal